If December's Death Rate Continues Through the Winter, US Death Toll Could Be 600,000 By April 2021

Covid, Covid, Covid is the unified chant of the Fake News Lamestream Media. They will talk about nothing else until November 4th., when the Election will be (hopefully!) over. Then the talk will be how low the death rate is, plenty of hospital rooms, & many tests of young people.

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 28, 2020

And so Donald Trump continues his decades-long record of being completely wrong about everything. You would think at some point in the last 30-40 years, he would have been lucky and blurted out a correct statement at least once. . . . But, no. He is astonishingly stupid and his record will likely never be broken.

December was the deadliest month of the pandemic in the United States, by far, with nearly 80,000 deaths. On September 11, 2001, 2,977 people died in the terrorist attacks. In December, an average of 2,566 Americans died from COVID-19 every single day.

Since Election Day, there have been:

10,684,210 new cases
   115,297 deaths

On November 4:

The single-day high in new cases was 101,426. A record has been set 14 times since then. The single-day high is now 255,774. (A day now with only 101,000 new cases would be cause for a huge celebration.)

The single-day high in deaths was 2,683 (set back on April 21). A new one-day high has been set six times in December. The single-day high is 3,880 deaths.

There were 52,166 people hospitalized with COVID-19 in the US. A record 125,379 hospitalizations were reported on December 31.

Back on May 19, 2020, the University of Washington's Comparative Health Outcomes, Policy and Economics Institute predicted 273,000 deaths by the end of the year. The US passed that figure in late November.

Two separate simulations have forecasted 438,000 dead by March 1, 2021 and 539,000 dead by April 1, 2021.

The US death toll at the end of 2020 was approximately 354,000. If the deaths in each of the first three months of 2021 is equal to the number of deaths in December 2020, reality will be far worse than either of those simulations. There would be 513,000 deaths on March 1 and 592,000 deaths on April 1.

Some perspective: The US has 354,000 deaths. Only one other country has more than 150,000 deaths (Brazil), three other countries have passed 100,000 deaths. and only nine have experienced more than 44,000 deaths.

Among countries with populations over 100 million, the US ranks #1 with 1,067 deaths per one million in population. The next four countries: Mexico (971), Brazil (914), Russia (391), and India (107).