Thursday, April 02, 2020

If New York City Was A Country, It Would Have The 4th-Most Covid-19 Cases In The World

The United States has set a record for the most new Covid-19 cases in a single day for nine consecutive days, even as testing remains limited (despite the frequency and volume of Donald Trump's lies).

The precise number of people who have been tested in the US is not known. The Covid Tracking Project, which collects data from all 50 states and territories, reported on March 18 that the US had tested only 56,590 people. The Guardian reported that over a four-day period (March 8-11), only 77 people in the entire US were tested.

Looking at the day-by-day totals, the US had tested fewer than 20,000 people on March 14 (one day after a national state of emergency was announced). The US topped 100,000 tests on March 19, 300,000 on March 24, and passed one million on March 31. As of late on April 2, the US had done 1,267,658 tests.

Tests are given to people showing symptoms. That's understandable, but it also seems troublesome because a person can have and spread the virus but not yet display symptoms. There is also no guarantee of a test, as the many news stories concerning people who are symptomatic and should be prioritized, but cannot not get a test.

Right now, the US has almost twice as many cases (245,066) as any country in the world. Italy (115,242) and Spain (112,065) are #2 and #3. If New York City was a country*, it would be #4 (93,053 cases); it would also be the country with the eighth-most deaths (2,538).

(*: In many ways, New York City is its own country, as many who have lived there can attest.)

The US has 228,588 active cases. Italy has the second-most, with 83,049. Only five countries have more than 50,000 active cases and only seven have more than 17,500. The much-maligned China has 1,863.

Cases per 1,000,000 people: US (740), Iran (601), Denmark (585), Sweden (551), UK (497), Canada (299), South Korea (196), and China (57). (Spain and Italy are still off-the-charts, with 2,397 and 1,906, respectively.)

Here are the totals since March 13:
                CASES   DEATHS      DAY'S TOTALS
March 13 - US State of Emergency
March 14        4,400+?     84
March 15        7,473      115      (   737 new cases and    11 new deaths)
March 16        8,210      126      (   983 new cases and    18 new deaths)
March 17        9,193      144      (  1748 new cases and    23 new deaths)
March 18       10,941      167      (  2848 new cases and    41 new deaths)
March 19       13,789      208      (  4530 new cases and    58 new deaths)
March 20       19,383      266      (  5594 new cases and    49 new deaths)
March 21       24,207      312      (  4824 new cases and    46 new deaths)
March 22       33,546      429      (  9339 new cases and   117 new deaths)
March 23       43,714      569      (10,168 new cases and   140 new deaths)
March 24       54,803      794      (11,089 new cases and   225 new deaths)
March 25       68,158    1,041      (13,355 new cases and   247 new deaths)
March 26       85,382    1,309      (17,224 new cases and   268 new deaths)
March 27      104,073    1,709      (18,691 new cases and   400 new deaths)
March 28      125,485    2,224      (19,452 new cases and   525 new deaths)
March 29      145,398    2,587      (19,913 new cases and   363 new deaths)
March 30      165,695    3,160      (20,297 new cases and   558 new deaths)
March 31      190,437    4,072      (24,742 new cases and   912 new deaths)
April 1       216,910    5,107      (26,473 new cases and 1,049 new deaths)
April 2       246,784    6,075      (29,874 new cases and   968 new deaths)
Notes:
March 25: Another source [CDC?] reports 14,024, which is a record for a country in one day since pandemic began.
March 26: US breaks the record it set yesterday (2nd highest country: Spain 8,271; only 4 countries had 4,000+ new cases).
March 27: US breaks the one-day record for new cases for the third consecutive day.
March 28: US breaks the one-day record for new cases for the fourth consecutive day.
March 29: US breaks the one-day record for new cases for the fifth consecutive day.
March 30: US breaks the one-day record for new cases for the sixth consecutive day.
March 31: US breaks the one-day record for new cases for the seventh consecutive day.
April 1: US breaks the one-day record for new cases for the eighth consecutive day.
April 2: US breaks the one-day record for new cases for the ninth consecutive day.

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